黑烟笼罩克里姆林宫上空：当无人机把战火，烧进莫斯科的心脏

正在重新定义这场战争的事。

that is redefining this war.

这个星期四，六月十八号的凌晨，

In the early hours of this Thursday, June 18th,

俄罗斯的首都莫斯科，

Russia's capital, Moscow,

迎来了一个，

woke to a morning

被黑烟笼罩的清晨。

shrouded in black smoke.

乌克兰，

Ukraine,

对这座城市，

against this city,

发动了开战四年多以来，

launched the largest drone attack

规模最大的一次无人机攻击。

since the war began over four years ago.

我们先用一个数字，

Let's first use a number

来感受它的分量。

to feel its weight.

据俄罗斯方面通报，

According to the Russian side,

仅仅是在飞向莫斯科的途中，

merely on the approach to Moscow,

就有将近两百架无人机，

nearly two hundred drones

被拦截下来。

were intercepted.

将近两百架。

Nearly two hundred.

这意味着，

Which means

真正穿过层层防空网，

the number that actually pierced layer upon layer of air defense

抵达目标的，

and reached their targets

还远不止这个数字。

was far more than that.

而这一切的核心目标，

And the core target of it all

是莫斯科城内的，

was, inside the city of Moscow,

一座大型炼油厂。

a large oil refinery.

它隶属于俄罗斯天然气工业石油公司，

It belongs to Russia's state gas-and-oil corporation,

坐落在莫斯科东南郊，

set in Moscow's southeastern outskirts,

一个叫卡波特尼亚的区。

in a district called Kapotnya.

值得注意的是，

It's worth noting

这已经是短短一周之内，

that this was already, within a single week,

这座炼油厂，

the second time this refinery

第二次遭到攻击。

had come under attack.

那个清晨，

That dawn,

无人机一架接一架，

drone after drone

俯冲向炼油厂。

dove toward the refinery.

厂区内，

Within the plant,

瞬间燃起了至少五处大火，

at least five large fires erupted in an instant,

浓重的黑烟，

and dense black smoke

几乎盖住了半座莫斯科的天空。

all but blanketed half of Moscow's sky.

现场流传的视频里，

In footage circulating from the scene,

一声剧烈的爆炸之后，

after one violent explosion,

巨大的厂房屋顶，

the enormous roof of the plant building

被气浪整个掀飞到空中。

was hurled whole into the air by the blast wave.

天空中，

From the sky,

甚至飘落下混着黑色烟灰的，

there even drifted down, mixed with black ash,

"黑雨"。

a 'black rain'.

看到这里，

Seeing this,

你或许会问一个问题：

you might ask a question:

战火连绵，

with the fires of war dragging on,

乌克兰为什么，

why does Ukraine

偏偏死死盯住炼油厂不放？

fixate so doggedly on the refinery?

答案，

The answer

其实藏在战争最朴素的逻辑里。

lies in fact in war's plainest logic.

现代战争，

Modern war,

打到最后，

fought to its very end,

打的就是能源。

is a war over energy.

坦克要靠燃油驱动，

Tanks run on fuel,

战机要靠燃油升空，

warplanes take off on fuel,

绵延几百公里的补给卡车，

the supply trucks stretching hundreds of kilometers

同样离不开油。

likewise cannot do without oil.

而炼油厂，

And an oil refinery

正是把原油，

is precisely where crude oil

变成这一切燃料的地方。

is turned into all this fuel.

所以，

So,

乌克兰的战略意图非常清晰：

Ukraine's strategic aim is very clear:

既然无法在正面战场上，

since it cannot, on the open battlefield,

击溃对方庞大的军队，

crush the enemy's vast army,

那就转而去打它的"血液"——

it turns instead to strike its 'lifeblood' —

能源。

energy.

切断燃油，

To sever the fuel

就是从根子上，

is, at the root,

削弱对方继续作战的能力。

to weaken the enemy's ability to keep fighting.

这是一种，

It is a kind

直接瞄准对手"油箱"与"钱袋"的，

aimed straight at the foe's 'fuel tank' and 'purse' —

消耗战打法。

a war of attrition.

当然，

Of course,

为这场攻击付出代价的，

the price paid for this attack

绝不只是一座工厂。

was by no means only one factory.

据俄方通报，

According to the Russian side,

此次袭击，

this strike

共造成十七人受伤，

left a total of seventeen people injured,

其中还包括两名儿童。

including two children.

一些居民楼，

Some residential buildings

被坠落的无人机残骸砸中、损毁。

were struck and damaged by falling drone debris.

而整座城市的秩序，

And the order of the whole city

也在这一天彻底被打乱。

was utterly upended that day.

莫斯科周边的多座机场，

The many airports around Moscow

紧急启动了管制，

urgently imposed controls,

暂停一切起降。

suspending all takeoffs and landings.

仅一家航空公司，

One airline alone

就取消了一百七十多个航班，

cancelled more than a hundred and seventy flights,

另有一百多个航班，

with over a hundred more

被迫延误。

forced into delay.

无数旅客，

Countless travelers

滞留在航站楼里，

were stranded in the terminals,

有家难回。

unable to return home.

与此同时，

At the same time,

部分地区开始出现油荒，

a fuel shortage began in some areas;

排队加油，

queuing to fill up,

甚至有钱也未必加得到。

even with money you might not manage it.

发动这场攻击的乌克兰，

Ukraine, which launched this attack,

姿态异常强硬。

struck an unusually hard posture.

就在袭击前数小时，

Just hours before the strike,

乌克兰总统，

Ukraine's president

刚刚同美国和法国领导人，

had just held, with the leaders of the US and France,

进行了一次重要的协调通话，

an important coordination call,

并在本周的七国集团峰会上，

and at this week's G7 summit

争取到了更多的支持承诺。

had secured further pledges of support.

随后，

Afterward,

他撂下了一句分量极重的话：

he delivered a line of immense weight:

如果乌克兰会被烧成灰烬，

if Ukraine is to be burned to ashes,

那么你的莫斯科，

then your Moscow,

同样会燃烧。

all the same, will burn.

这句话的潜台词，

The subtext of that line

冷酷而直白：

is cold and blunt:

以牙还牙，

an eye for an eye,

以火还火。

fire for fire.

说到这里，

Speaking of this,

我想和你聊聊，

I want to talk with you about

这件事更深的一层。

a deeper layer of this matter.

这场战争，

This war

已经持续了四年多。

has dragged on for over four years.

对身处远方的我们而言，

For those of us far away,

它太多时候，

all too often

只是新闻里反复出现的，

it is only, recurring in the news,

一个有些麻木的背景音。

a somewhat numbing background hum.

但是当将近两百架无人机，

But when nearly two hundred drones

扑向一国之都，

swoop toward a nation's capital,

当滚滚黑烟，

when rolling black smoke

笼罩在克里姆林宫的上空，

shrouds the skies above the Kremlin,

当普通市民，

when ordinary citizens

被困机场、加不到油、

are stuck at airports, unable to fuel up,

抬头就是一片焦黑的天，

and look up to a sky charred black,

战争，

war

便不再是地图上，

is no longer, on a map,

那一个个冰冷的箭头。

those cold little arrows.

它变成了，

It has become

结结实实砸进千万人日常的，

the explosions and flames that slam, solid and real, into the daily lives of millions,

爆炸、火光，

the blasts, the firelight,

和那一场，

and that one

落在头顶的黑雨。

black rain falling on their heads.

节目的最后，

At the end of the show,

我想把两个问题，

I want to leave you

留给你。

with two questions.

第一，

First,

这种专打能源、

this attrition warfare — striking at energy,

专打后方的消耗战，

striking at the rear —

究竟是会加速一场战争的结束，

will it truly speed a war's end,

还是只会让仇恨，

or will it only make the hatred

烧得更久、更深？

burn longer, and deeper?

第二，

Second,

当战火，

when the fires of war,

一次又一次地，

again and again,

冲进大城市的心脏，

charge into the heart of a great city,

无论它落在基辅，

whether they fall on Kyiv,

还是落在莫斯科，

or fall on Moscow,

最终，

in the end,

真正承受这一切的，

who truly bears all of it —

又是哪些，

which

普普通通的人？

ordinary, everyday people?

这两个问题，

These two questions

没有标准答案。

have no standard answer.

但是它们，

But they

值得你慢慢地想。

are worth thinking about slowly.